Detroit Tigers vs. San Diego Padres – Prediction, 09/05/2024 – MLB Tips, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Detroit Tigers vs San Diego Padres

Date: Thursday, September 5, 2024

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, California

TV: Padres.TV

Odds/point distribution: Detroit (+169) San Diego (-208)

The Detroit Tigers (70-69) head to Petco Park on Thursday to face the San Diego Padres (79-61). The odds for this game are +169 for Detroit and -208 for San Diego. The total is 08.0. Casey Mize and Martin Perez are on the mound.

Detroit has a slugging percentage of .387 and has allowed 1,228 strikeouts and 387 walks. They have 561 RBIs and 1,086 hits so far this season, while their team batting average is .233. As a team, the Tigers have hit 209 doubles and hit 143 balls out of the park. They have scored 582 runs and hold an OBP of .296. As a team, the Detroit Tigers score 4.2 runs/G, which ranks them 22nd in MLB.

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They have posted a K/BB ratio of 3.23 and their pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.18. The Tigers' pitchers have allowed a total of 138 home runs and 568 runs (7th in baseball). Detroit has allowed 1,098 base hits (8.0 per 9 innings) as well as 513 earned runs. The Tigers have an ERA of 3.74 for the season (6th in MLB) and their team has benched 1,168 batters. They have struck out 362 opposing batters via walks and their FIP as a team is 3.74 this season.

The Tigers' relief pitchers have posted a 62.3% save percentage and have entered the game in 115 save situations. The relief pitchers have taken on 206 base runners during the season, with 24.8% of them crossing home plate. The Tigers' relief pitchers have faced runners on the mound 148 times and have also made 127 appearances in high-pressure situations. The Tigers have sent 424 relief pitchers to the mound this year. The bullpen has posted 61 holds this season (25th in the league). They have posted 33 saves this season and missed 20 of their 53 save opportunities.

The Detroit Tigers have 3,705 putouts, 1,184 assists and 74 errors at this point in the season. Their fielding percentage is .985, which ranks 16th in the major leagues, and they have 108 total double plays. The Tigers have turned 70.4% of balls hit into play into outs in 11,115 innings on the field, which ranks 10th in professional baseball.

Mize has pitched 272 innings in his career and has totaled 210 Ks. His ERA is 4.30 (130 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.278. He has allowed 270 base hits (8.9 hits per nine innings) and 78 free passes. Mize (career record of 9-19 wins and losses) has a FIP of 4.23 and has faced 1,160 opposing batters in the Major Leagues.

The San Diego Padres have a .327 OBP and a .265 team batting average this year. They have been called for strikes 916 times (30th in the league) and have totaled 1,263 hits. San Diego has totaled 160 home runs so far this year, along with 642 RBIs. The Padres have a team SLG% of .417 and are averaging 4.76 runs per game (11th in the league). They have hit 212 doubles, gotten a free base 399 times and scored 667 runs.

The Padres have a team WHIP of 1.248 and a FIP of 3.78 as a pitching team so far this year. They currently rank 18th in baseball with 1,146 hits allowed. San Diego's pitching staff has allowed 597 runs and posted a 4.00 ERA (552 earned runs allowed) on the season. They have a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 9.10 (1,260 strikeouts vs. 403 walks). They have allowed 146 home runs and 4.33 runs per 9 innings (12th in baseball).

San Diego has brought relief pitchers into the game on 56 save opportunities and has made 36 saves. They currently rank 13th in the league with a 64.3% save percentage and have sent 462 bullpen pitchers to the mound this season. Their relief pitchers have come to the field 124 times in high-pressure situations and also 140 times with runners on base. San Diego's relief pitchers have a 37.2% point percentage on 215 runners taken. The Padres have made 122 save situations and 64 holds and 20 blown saves.

In their 11,172 innings on the field, the Padres have a defensive efficiency of 69.0% (22nd in the Major Leagues). The San Diego Padres have turned 102 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .987 (5th in baseball). The Padres have 1,105 assists, 64 errors and 3,724 putouts this season.

In his career so far, Perez has allowed 1,693 base hits and has 1,093 punch outs in 1,554 innings pitched. Perez (89-86 in his career) has a 4.46 earned run average and allows 9.8 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 770 ERs, has a 1.451 WHIP and a 4.4 FIP. He has a 1.95 strikeout-to-walk ratio and has faced 6,758 batters in his career so far.

Who will win today's MLB game against the spread or the moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's tip: Take Detroit (+169)

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