Odds, tips and predictions for the game Detroit Tigers vs San Diego Padres

The Detroit Tigers (70-70) and San Diego Padres (80-61) play the finale of a 3-game series on Thursday at PETCO Park at 8:40 p.m. ET. Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Tigers vs Padres Opportunities and place your best bets with our expert MLB tips and predictions.

Season series: Padres lead 2-0

The Tigers suffered their second straight loss on Wednesday, losing 6-5 in 10 innings. The Tigers led 5-0 in the 4th inning and didn't score again the rest of the game. OF Matt Vierling hit his 16th home run in the loss. The Tigers are still 5 1/2 away from a wild card spot.

The Padres have won three in a row, are 4 1/2 behind the Los Angeles Dodgers in the NL West and occupy the first wild card spot. OF MichaelJackson hit his 22nd home run on Wednesday. He now has a batting average of .294 with 22 home runs, 82 RBIs and 16 steals.

Expected starters for the Tigers at the Padres

RHP Casey Mize against LHP Martin Perez

Mize (2-6, 4.25 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a WHIP of 1.42, 2.3 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 in 84 2/3 IP.

• Last start: No decision, 6 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 4 K Saturday against the Boston Red Sox
• Has never played against the Padres
• Away/Home Splits: 2-3, 5.05 ERA, 1.65 WHIP, 6.8 K/9 in 8 away GS; 0-3, 3.67 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 6.4 K/9 in 9 home GS

Perez (4-5, 4.71 ERA) is making his 23rd start. He has a 1.54 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 in 114 2/3 IP with the Pittsburgh Pirates and Padres.

• Last start: Win, 5 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 4 K Saturday against Tampa Bay Rays
• Last 5 starts against Tigers: 0-1, 4.33 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 21 K in 27 IP

Who goes yard? Here is a breakdown of today's best home run props with our top picks. These include the BetMGM Bonus Code SBWIRE receives an offer of $1,500 for his first bet.

Odds for Tigers vs Padres

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; for a complete list visit the USA TODAY sports scores and betting odds hub. Odds last updated at 1:41 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Tigers +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Padres -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
• Running Line (RL)/Against the Spread (ATS): Tigers +1.5 (-155) | Padres -1.5 (+130)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Tips and predictions for the Tigers at the Padres

forecast

Tigers 4, Padres 3

Money line

I like the “dogs here. Padres closer Robert Suárez has pitched 3 of the last 4 days, and I doubt he's available. Mize's numbers on the road aren't great, but he's been good in his last 2 road games. He allowed 2 ER over 9 1/3 IP against the LA Angels and Atlanta Braves.

Take the TIGER +140 to avoid the sweep.

Running Line/Against the Spread

I'm going with CASEY MIZE OVER 15.5 OUTS (-125)which would have paid him money in his last two starts. The former No. 1 pick will likely be looking to finish the season strong.

Over/Under

It's supposed to be 82 degrees with a 10 mph wind from left-center. The over is 2-2-1 in the last 5 meetings between the clubs in the last 2 years. Detroit is 3-6-1 O/U in their last 10 and San Dawg is 5-4-1. The wind is a big factor here for me. Take the UNDER 8.5 (-115).

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