Top NFL Football Knockout, Survivor Pool Tips, Advice, Strategy for Week 1 2024: Forget This Home Favorite

Getting a bird's eye view of evaluating the entire 2024 NFL schedule is an important part of developing an NFL survival strategy, but a successful Week 1 NFL survivor pick is ultimately the only way to stay alive. Cincinnati is a 7.5-point favorite against New England in the Week 1 NFL odds, which could make the Bengals one of the most popular Week 1 NFL survivor picks. However, they are projected as clear favorites several times over the next two months, so they have value in future NFL Knockout Pool picks. Should you go with the chalky pick when making your Week 1 NFL Eliminator Pool picks? Before you finalize any Week 1 NFL survivor picks, check out which team the red-hot SportsLine projection model just bet everything on.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, has gained well over $7,000 in top-rated NFL picks for $100 players since its launch. The model enters Week 1 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 181-129 run in top-rated NFL picks dating back to the 2017 season. It's also on a 35-21 run in top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 2022.

The model has been in the top 10 in pure NFL picks on NFLPickWatch four of the last six years and has beaten more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em four times during that time. Anyone who has been following it ranks way up there.

Now it has turned its attention to the latest Week 1 NFL odds and locked in its Week 1 Survivor Pool pick. You can see who the model is backing this week only at SportsLine.

Top predictions for the NFL Survivor Pool in Week 1

In Week 1 of the 2024 NFL season, the model avoids the Miami Dolphins, even though they are coming off an 11-6 season and are favored against a Jaguars team that missed the playoffs at 9-8. The Jaguars overhauled their defensive system in the offseason, moving from a 3-4 to a 4-3 while hiring new defensive coordinator Ryan Nielsen from Atlanta. Defensive ends Josh Hines-Allen and Travon Walker combined for 14 sacks in the final seven games of last season, so they should be able to put pressure on Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa.

Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence had a passer rating of at least 100 in each of his first five road games last season before struggling with some ball security issues later in the season. He should be refreshed after a full offseason, and he has new weapons in wide receivers Gabe Davis and Brian Thomas Jr. The Jaguars have enough firepower to match the Dolphins blow for blow in Week 1, so this game is one to avoid. Here's which team to pick instead.

How to Make Your NFL Survivor Pool Picks for Week 1

Instead, the model is betting on a surprising home team that wins handily in nearly 80% of simulations. Now is the time to bet on this team, and you can only watch the game at SportsLine.

Which surprise team is a must-have in your Week 1 survival pool? Visit SportsLine now to see which team will lead you to victory in Week 1, all based on the advanced computer model that has consistently beaten the NFL and gained well over $7,000 since its inception.