St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays – Prediction, 9/14/2024 MLB Tips, Best Bets & Odds

Game: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Saturday, September 14, 2024

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

The St. Louis Cardinals (73-72) are headed to Rogers Centre on Saturday where they will try to defeat the Toronto Blue Jays (69-78). The pitchers expected to start are Kyle Gibson and Jose Berrios.

As a team, the St. Louis Cardinals score 4.1 runs per game, which ranks them 24th in MLB. They have scored 594 runs and have an OBP of .310. As a team, the Cardinals have had 223 two-baggers and hit 148 balls out of the ballpark. They have 564 RBIs and 1,213 base hits so far this year, while their team batting average is .246. St. Louis has a slugging rate of .388 and has been taken out of the game for strikes 1,191 times while walking 422 times.

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They have posted a K/BB ratio of 2.82 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.27. The Cardinals' pitchers have allowed 160 home runs and 659 total runs (19th in the league). St. Louis has allowed 1,222 hits (8.5 per 9 innings) and 596 earned runs. The Cardinals have posted a team earned run average of 4.15 on the season (19th in MLB) and have struck out 1,174 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 417 hitters and their FIP as a team for the season is 4.02.

The Cardinals' relief pitchers have a 66.2% save rate and have stepped to the mound in 166 save situations. The relief pitchers have taken on 205 runners this season and 35.6% of them have crossed the plate. The Cardinals' relief pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 149 times and have also had 163 appearances in high-pressure situations. The Cardinals have sent 461 relief pitchers to the mound this year. The bullpen has accumulated 92 holds this season (5th in MLB). They have accumulated 49 saves so far this season and missed 25 of their 74 save opportunities.

The Cardinals have converted 69.7% of balls in play into outs in their 11,643 innings, ranking 17th in professional baseball. The St. Louis Cardinals have collected 3,881 putouts this season, along with 1,354 assists and 66 errors. Their fielding percentage is .988, ranking 4th in professional baseball, and they have forced 134 double plays.

Gibson (112-106 in his career) has a FIP of 4.45 and has faced 7,926 batters in the major leagues. He has allowed 1,893 hits (9.2 hits per 9 innings) and 648 walks. His earned run average is 4.52 (928 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.374. Gibson has thrown 1,849 innings in his MLB career and has 1,502 Ks.

The Toronto Blue Jays have a team on-base percentage of .314 and a batting average of .242 on the season. They have had 1,121 base hits (25th in the league) and have 1,188 base hits. Toronto has 148 home runs and 593 runs batted in this year. The Blue Jays have a SLG% of .395 and are scoring 4.22 runs per game (20th in the league). They have hit 262 doubles, walked 460 and scored 621 runs.

Toronto's pitchers have allowed 676 runs this year and have a team ERA of 4.33 (622 earned runs allowed). They have allowed 194 home runs and allow 4.70 runs per 9 innings (22nd in baseball). The Blue Jays have a team WHIP of 1.272 and a team FIP of 4.48 this year. Their K/BB ratio is 8.30 (1,200 strikeouts against 452 walks). They rank 18th in MLB with 1,194 hits allowed.

Toronto has called relief pitchers into the contest on 55 save opportunities, and they have earned 35 saves. They rank 15th in the league with a 63.6% save rate and have fielded 492 relief pitchers so far this season. Their relief pitchers have taken the mound 114 times in high-pressure situations, in addition to 141 opportunities with runners on base. Toronto's relief pitchers have a 32.6% taken point percentage from their 221 base runners taken. With 137 save situations, the Blue Jays have amassed 79 holds and 20 blown saves.

The Toronto Blue Jays have turned 113 double plays and posted a fielding percentage of .983 (23rd in professional baseball). The Blue Jays have recorded 1,215 assists and 86 errors and have had 3,883 putouts this season. In their 11,649 innings pitched, the Blue Jays have posted a defensive efficiency of 70.5% (9th in professional baseball).

Berrios (career record 98-75) has a 4.07 ERA and allows 8.4 hits per nine innings. He has a 3.23 K/BB ratio and has faced 5,842 batters during his career. He has allowed 628 ERs and holds a 1.232 WHIP and a 4.0 FIP. During his professional baseball career, Berrios has allowed 1,300 hits and has 1,329 punch outs in 1,389 innings pitched.

Who will win today's MLB game against the spread or the moneyline?

Guy Bruhns tip: Take Toronto

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