New England Patriots vs. New York Jets: Prediction, odds, spread, injuries, trends for NFL Week 3

The New York Jets host the New England Patriots for Thursday Night Football. The two division rivals enter this contest with a 1-1 record.

The Jets offense looked better in Week 2, outscoring the Jets 24-17 and covering the spread. Breece Hall and Garrett Wilson remain Aaron Rodgers' top targets, with Allen Lazard often getting the nod in the red zone.

Veteran Jacoby Brissett has been effective in the Patriots' run-oriented offense, and with no clear alpha receiver for New England, the running game will likely be the focus again on Thursday against the Jets.

The Jets allowed an average of 24.5 points per game, while the Patriots only allowed 16.5.

Spread

Money line

In total

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook

Patriots injury report

Jets Injury Report

Patriots running back Rhamondre Stevenson

Stevenson served as the lead cow for New England, running over 20 runs for the second week in a row in this run-heavy offense. New England's 75 rushing attempts are the third-best in the NFL.

The Jets have been vulnerable on the ground this year, allowing an average of 115 yards per game and 4.49 yards per carry. They have also allowed the sixth-most receiving yards and a catch rate of 83.3% to opposing runners this year. Stevenson has eight targets this season, but Antonio Gibson, the better pass catcher, could also have a good game if the Patriots trail in this game.

Jets WR Garrett Wilson

We're still waiting for the game-changing game we've all been expecting from Garrett Wilson. Wilson led the team in targets and receiving yards in Week 2, and this season he also leads the team in air yards. In his first two games, he averaged 58.5 receiving yards and five catches. Wilson had three targets inside the 20 in Week 2, but has yet to score a touchdown this season.

Wilson could have a game-changing play against a Patriots defense that allowed just 296 yards to Seahawks receivers.

The Jets should be successful against the Patriots, who allowed Geno Smith to pass for 327 yards and a touchdown on Sunday. Breece Hall will be a weapon in the passing game, even if he can't get through on the ground. The Patriots are not an easy opponent for runners, allowing running backs to average just 46.5 rushing yards this season. However, they have allowed running backs to score two rushing touchdowns, ten catches, 60 receiving yards and an 83.3% catch rate. Breece Hall should be an effective weapon, while Garrett Wilson and Allen Lazard should be successful against the Patriots' secondary.

On the other hand, the Jets have underperformed defensively, while the Patriots have been better than expected offensively with Jacoby Brissett. Expect Stevenson and Gibson to get their start in this Jets defense.

37.5 is a very low bar. The Jets' games have been over 100% of the time this season and the Patriots' have been over 50% of the time. Despite the historical trend of underscoring between these two teams, I expect the over to be in play on Thursday night. Rodgers should start to get into his stride and the Patriots' offense has a path to success as well. I don't want to pick either team ATS, I just want to see a lot of points. Let's have fun and root for the over.

Selection: Over 37.5

The game odds are updated regularly and are subject to change.

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