Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds – Prediction, 9/19/2024, MLB Tips, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds

Date: Thursday, September 19, 2024

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

The Cincinnati Reds (74-78) will host the Atlanta Braves (81-70) at Great American Ball Park on Thursday. The expected starting pitchers are Chris Sale and Julian Aguiar.

As a team, the Atlanta Braves score 4.3 runs per game, ranking 16th in the league. They have 646 runs with a team OBP of .307. As a team, the Braves have hit 258 two-baggers and hit 191 balls out of the park. They have 618 RBIs this year, 1,225 base hits and their batting average is .240. Atlanta has a slugging percentage of .409 and has been taken out of the game for strikes 1,364 times while walking 454 times.

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The Braves have a 3.56 earned run average this season (2nd in MLB) and have 1,440 hitters on the field. Braves pitchers have allowed 140 home runs and 579 runs (2nd in baseball). They have walked 424 other team players and their FIP as a team this season is 3.48. Atlanta has allowed 1,210 base hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and 532 earned runs. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 3.40 and their pitching staff has a combined WHIP of 1.21.

The Braves have sent 445 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the season. Bullpen pitchers have taken on 140 base runners on the season, with 31.4% of them crossing the plate. They have recorded 37 saves on the season and blown 20 of their 57 save opportunities. The Braves' relief pitchers have a save percentage of 64.9% and have entered the game in 118 save situations. The bullpen has 61 holds over the course of the season (28th in the league). Braves' pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 103 times and have also had 139 appearances in high-pressure situations.

The Atlanta Braves have totaled 4,036 putouts this season, along with 1,338 assists and 65 errors. Their fielding percentage is .988, which ranks third in MLB, and they have made 123 double plays. The Braves have turned 68.6% of balls hit into play into outs in their 12,108 innings on the field, which ranks 24th in professional baseball.

Sale has spent 1,952 innings on the mound in his professional baseball career and has 2,408 punch outs. His ERA is 3.04 (659 ERs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.044. He has allowed 1,585 hits (7.3 hits per nine innings) and 453 walks. Sale (137-83 career win-loss record) has a 2.99 FIP while facing 7,858 batters in the Major Leagues.

Cincinnati has hit 169 home runs and 640 runs batted in this year. They have hit 249 doubles, issued 467 walks and scored 674 runs. The Cincinnati Reds have a team OBP of .307 and a team batting average of .233 this season. The Reds have a team SLG% of .395 and an average of 4.43 runs per game (14th in baseball). They have been called for strikes 1,381 times (7th in the league) and have yielded 1,169 hits.

Cincinnati's pitchers have allowed 651 runs this season and come into the season with a team ERA of 4.07 (607 earned runs allowed). They have allowed 180 home runs and allowed 4.37 runs per 9 innings (15th in baseball). The Reds have a team WHIP of 1.248 and a FIP of 4.22 as a team this year. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 8.70 (1,292 strikeouts against 457 free passes). They rank 14th in baseball with a total of 1,216 hits allowed.

Cincinnati's relief pitchers have a 30.0% taken score rate out of 217 base runners taken. Their relief pitchers have entered the field 148 times in high-pressure situations and 139 times with runners on the mound. In 131 save situations, the Reds have recorded 78 holds and 15 blown saves. They rank third in MLB with a 70.0% save rate and have sent 502 bullpen pitchers to the mound so far this year. Cincinnati has sent relief pitchers into the contest on 50 save opportunities and recorded 35 saves.

In their 12,069 innings on the field, the Reds have a defensive efficiency of 70.2% (14th in the major leagues). The Cincinnati Reds have 95 double plays and a fielding percentage of .982 (27th in professional baseball). The Reds have recorded 1,141 assists and 93 errors and have 4,023 putouts for the season.

In his MLB career, Aguiar has allowed 24 base hits and has 15 strikeouts in 27 innings pitched. He has allowed 15 ERs overall while posting a WHIP of 1.250 and a FIP of 4.9. His K/BB ratio is 1.50 and he has struck out 119 opposing batters in his career. Aguiar (2-0 career record) has a 4.96 earned run average and has allowed 7.9 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win today's MLB game against the spread or the moneyline?

Guy Bruhns tip: Take Cincinnati

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