Odds, tips and predictions for the game Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets

The New York Mets (85-68) welcome the Philadelphia Phillies (91-62) to Citi Field for the second of their 4-game series on Friday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET (Apple TV+). Let's check out BetMGM Sportsbook's MLB odds around the Phillies vs Mets Opportunities and place your best bets with our expert MLB tips and predictions.

Season series: Phillies lead 6-4

The NL East-leading Phillies lost the series opener to the Mets 10-6 on Thursday and finished the season as underdogs with a +126 moneyline. Philadelphia has lost 3 of its last 4 games, but is 6-4 in its last 10 games. The Phillies are 5-5 in their last 10 road games and 39-36 road games this season. They are 76-77 against the spread (ATS).

The Mets are on a roll, winning 4 games in a row and 6 of their last 8. Their offense is electric, scoring at least 10 runs in 3 straight games. They have outscored their opponents 30-7 in their last 3 games. New York is second in the NL East. Their home record is 44-34 and ATS is 80-73.

Expected starters for the Phillies at the Mets

LHP Christopher Sanchez against LHP David Peterson

Sanchez (10-9, 3.24 ERA) is making his 30th start. He has a WHIP of 1.23, 2.0 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 172 IP.

• Last start: No decision, 7 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 7 K in the 2-1 home win against the Mets on Sunday
• Away statistics 2024: 3-6, 5.13 ERA (66 2/3 IP, 38 ER), 1.67 WHIP, 6.3 K/9 in 13 starts
• Career against the Mets: 1-2, 3.62 ERA (32 1/3 IP, 13 ER), 1.05 WHIP, 9.5 K/9 in 8 appearances (5 starts)

Peterson (9-2, 2.85 ERA) is making his 20th start. He has a WHIP of 1.31, 3.5 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 110 1/3 IP.

• Last start: No decision, 7 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 6 K in the 2-1 road loss to the Phillies on Sunday
• Home stats 2024: 4-1, 2.82 ERA (44 2/3 IP, 14 ER), 1.37 WHIP, 9.5 K/9 in 8 starts
• Career against Phillies: 1-2, 4.57 ERA (43 1/3 IP, 22 ER), 1.32 WHIP, 11.0 K/9 in 9 appearances (8 starts)

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Odds for Phillies vs Mets

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; visit the USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds Hub for a complete list of MLB odds. Odds last updated at 9:16 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Phillies -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Mets -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
• Running Line (RL)/Against the Spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+155) | Mets +1.5 (-190)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Tips and predictions for the Phillies at the Mets

forecast

Mets 4, Phillies 2

Money line

BET METS (-105).

The Mets batters have been on top form lately. While Sanchez allowed just one run in New York, he hasn't been nearly as good on the road this season. The Mets have won 6 of Peterson's last 8 starts and have allowed just 13 runs total in his last 5 games.

Additionally, the Phillies have struggled recently, especially on the road. They have lost 5 of their last 6 road games, including 2 of 3 away games against the Milwaukee Brewers in the previous series. All in all MET (-105).

Running Line/Against the Spread

HAPPEN.

There's just not a lot of value here. The Mets are way too expensive to play as underdogs, while the Phillies are way too expensive to play as road favorites.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-115).

These pitchers faced off on Sunday and a total of 3 runs were scored in this game. The Phillies have played under in 2 of their last 3 games and are 1-3-1 O/U in their last 5 games. This season they are 71-74-8 O/U.

The Mets have been good offensively, but have allowed 2 or fewer runs in 4 of their last 5 games and are hitting at an unsustainable pace. They have scored 4 or fewer runs in 3 of their last 6 games.

Take UNDER 7.5 (-115) given the quality of the starting pitchers that will be on the mound.

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