Texas vs. UL Monroe odds, spread: 2024 college football picks, Week 4 predictions from proven model

The top-ranked Texas Longhorns will face the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday at Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium. Texas is 3-0 overall and 2-0 at home, while UL Monroe is 2-0 overall and finished 2-10 last season. Redshirt freshman Arch Manning will make his first start with Quinn Ewers out with an abdominal muscle injury. This is the first time Texas has been ranked No. 1 in the AP poll since 2008.

After an opening score of -48, the Longhorns are now favored by 43.5 points in the latest Texas vs. UL Monroe odds according to the SportsLine consensus, and the over/under is 54 points after an opening score of 52.5. Before placing a Texas vs. UL Monroe bet, check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine model.

The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its launch, it has returned over $2,000 on $100 bettors with its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also has a profitable season going 13-9 on top-rated spread picks and started this season 5-2 on over/under picks. Everyone who has followed it has seen strong returns.

The model has focused on UL Monroe vs. Texas. You can head over to SportsLine to see the picks. Here are several college football betting odds for the spread, money line and over/under for this Texas vs. UL Monroe game:

• Spread between Texas and UL Monroe: Texas -43.5
• Texas vs. UL Monroe over/under: 54 points
• Texas vs. UL Monroe Tips: See Tips Here

Why Texas can cover

The Longhorns have been perhaps the most impressive team in the nation, winning and easily beating all three of their games so far. They overtook Georgia in the AP poll this week after the Bulldogs suffered a scare at Kentucky. Normally, having their star quarterback out would be a big deal, but the Longhorns have one of the nation's most talented backups in Manning ready to go.

The son of Cooper Manning, grandson of Archie Manning and nephew of Peyton and Eli Manning, Arch Manning represents the third generation of the famous quarterback family. He was outstanding last week as Ewers' backup, completing 9 of 12 passes for 223 yards and four touchdowns and rushing for 53 yards and a touchdown on the ground. See who to bet on at SportsLine.

Why UL can cover Monroe

UL Monroe is also off to a fast start with two wins and two easy covers. The Warhawks defeated Jackson State 30-13 in their opener, starting as 4.5-point favorites. They then beat UAB 32-6 in Week 2 despite being 12 points ahead. That win certainly came as a huge relief to head coach Bryant Vincent, who was interim coach at UAB in 2022 but was ultimately passed over for the full-time job in favor of Trent Dilfer, who was on the losing side of that matchup.

General Booty, who transferred from Oklahoma, is UL Monroe's quarterback and has completed 19 of 30 passes for 191 yards and a touchdown this season. The running back duo of Ahmad Hardy and James Jones have combined for nearly 300 yards on the ground, and a strong running attack would keep the clock ticking and give the Warhawks a good chance to stay within the number. See who to bet on at SportsLine.

How to make your picks for Texas vs. UL Monroe

The model has simulated Texas vs. UL Monroe 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is trending ahead and also says one side of the spread will hit well over 50% of the time. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

Who will win UL Monroe vs. Texas and which side of the spread will hit over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out, all with the model that's up more than $2,000 on the top-rated college football spread picks.