Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees: Odds, Tips and Predictions

The Baltimore Orioles (87-70) and New York Yankees (92-65) meet on Wednesday to continue a 3-game series in the Bronx. First pitch at Yankee Stadium is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let's check out BetMGM Sportsbook's MLB odds around the Orioles vs Yankees Opportunities and place your best bets with our expert MLB tips and predictions.

Season series: Baltimore leads 7-4

The Orioles hit three home runs to win the series-clinching game 5-3 on Tuesday. The victory was Baltimore's fifth in the last six games at Yankee Stadium.

Tuesday's loss was only the Yankees' third since September 11. On Wednesday night, New York will try to avoid a second straight loss, something they haven't done since September 3-4.

Expected starters for Orioles at Yankees

RHP Zach Eflin against LHP Nestor Cortes

Eflin (10-9, 3.53 ERA) is making his 28th start. He has a WHIP of 1.13, 1.1 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 160 2/3 IP.

• Last appearance: No decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 5 K in the 5-3 win against the San Francisco Giants on Thursday
• Career against the Yankees: 3-3, 2.11 ERA (47 IP, 11 ER), 39 H, 10 BB, 53 K in 8 starts

Cortes (9-10, 3.77 ERA) is making his 31st start and 32nd appearance. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 174 1/3 IP.

• Last appearance: No decision, 6 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 6 K in the 2-1 win at the Seattle Mariners last Tuesday
• Career against Orioles: 5-1, 2.20 ERA (57 1/3 IP, 14 ER), 43 H, 14 BB, 72 K in 11 appearances (9 starts)

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Odds for Orioles vs Yankees

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; visit the USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds Hub for a complete list of MLB odds. Odds last updated at 8:43 a.m. ET.

• Money line: Orioles +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Yankees -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
• Run Line (RL)/Against the Spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+145)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Tips and predictions for the Orioles vs Yankees game

forecast

Orioles 4, Yankees 3

Money line

Cortes has a 1.58 ERA since August 13, which doesn't stand up to scrutiny of support stats. The Yankees' left-hander starts after 6 days of rest, and that rest has been problematic for him in the past. In 2024, Cortes has allowed an OPS of .873 pitching after 6 or more days of rest. Over the course of his career, he has held opposing hitters to an OPS of .700 but to a .734 after 6 days of rest.

Eflin has been an excellent finisher throughout his career (OPS of .690 in the regular season from September to October), and the solid right-hander will give the Orioles enough win probability that the return of the underdog will create value.

BET ON THE ORIOLES (+130).

Running Line/Against the Spread

No interest here: HAPPEN.

Over/Under

The Under has won 11 of New York's last 16 games. The Under is 5-0 in Baltimore's last 5 road games.

Both starters have good numbers against the hitters they will see. Both sides will be in the mood to destroy the best pitchers in their bullpens.

With a breeze from within in the weather forecast, UNDER 7.5 (+100).

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