Top MLB Home Run Tips Today (How to Bet on Mets-Brewers Game 3)

The Milwaukee Brewers and New York Mets play a crucial Game 3 on Thursday night with a trip to the NLDS on the line.

New York won the opening game of that series 8-4, but the Brewers rebounded with three home runs – two by Jackson Chourio – to win Game 2 by a score of 5-3.

Now everything rests on Thursday evening.

Left-hander Jose Quintana gets the ball for the Mets against Milwaukee right-hander Tobias Myers.

Quintana allowed 22 home runs in 31 appearances during the regular season, posting a 3.75 ERA and 4.56 Fielding Independent Pitching.

On the Milwaukee side, Myers allowed 18 home runs in 27 appearances and posted a 3.00 ERA and 3.91 FIP.

Every day at SI Betting, our editors pick some of their favorite home run props for the day. Since there was only one game on Thursday, I picked one player from each team for bettors to consider for Game 3.

Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook.

Francisco Lindor hits a home run (+330)

New York shortstop Francisco Lindor has a flair for the dramatic.

He has hit six home runs in 30 career postseason games, and on Monday he had a big performance for the Mets against the Atlanta Braves, hitting the go-ahead home run to clinch a playoff spot .

Now Lindor will face Myers for the second time in his career. The star shortstop is 0-1 against Myers in his career, but he is coming off a solid Game 2 in which he drove in a run and drove in two runs.

Lindor posted a .277 batting average with 22 home runs against right-handers this season. He's the Met I'd trust the most on Thursday.

William Contreras hits a home run (+450)

I love this matchup against Brewers catcher William Contreras as he has had good success against Quintana in his MLB career.

In eight at-bats against the left-handed hitter, Contreras had three hits, a home run and a double – good for a .875 slugging percentage.

This season, Contreras' slugging percentage is higher against lefties (.486) than against righties (.459).

He only hit four home runs against left-handers during the regular season, but it's clear that Quintana is a pitcher he's looked good at so far in his career.

Odds are updated regularly and are subject to change.

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