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Invest 92L Forms in the Gulf of Mexico; There could be heavy rain in Florida

TWO NEWS FOR CW 18 STARTING NOW. THANK YOU FOR VISITING WESH TWO NEWS AT TEN. I AM JESSE PAGAN AND I AM LUANA MUNOZ. Tropical activity in the Gulf is increasing as we have now invested 92 litres. That means more data for a better forecast means exactly what we could see here in central Florida early next week. A FIRST ALERT: CHIEF METEOROLOGIST TONY MAINOLFI SHARE THE NEW INFORMATION HERE, TONY. THAT'S RIGHT, people. So we are now entering a new phase. NOW WE HAVE AN INVESTMENT. WE HAVE THE TROPICAL MODELS STARTING. NOW. The hurricane hunters will be on the move tomorrow morning. They will also be there on Sunday. And as we digest what's going on down there with these hurricane hunters and feed that data into our modeling system, we're going to start getting more accurate forecasts because the global models are pretty messed up. And it's not a good thing. WE DON'T WANT THAT. So now let's take a look at the update from the Hurricane Center. 30% CHANCE FOR DEVELOPMENT. NOW IN THE NEXT TWO DAYS. AND A 70% CHANCE OF DEVELOPMENT IN THE NEXT WEEK. This is the first look at the TROPICAL MODELS. And the first run is historically not a particularly good run. So we wait. TONIGHT OVERNIGHT we're starting to get a few more of the more mature models, the more accurate forecast will be coming, but you can kind of see that tropical type band and you can kind of see that band on the global models coming in tonight By the way, it was kind of flip-flopping. SOME OF THEM ARE STRONGER, SOME OF THEM WEAKER. However, most of them retain the main energy. TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. AND THE CORE OF THE MODELING IS IN SOUTH AND CENTRAL FLORIDA. And there is a big difference in the amount of precipitation between the northern and southern models. AND I'

Invest 92L Forms in the Gulf of Mexico; There could be a major rain event in Florida

Some models show up to 18 inches of rain in parts of Central Florida.

Video above: Tropical updates Invest 92-L formed in the Gulf of Mexico on Friday evening and could develop into a tropical depression early next week, according to the National Hurricane Center. It would be called Milton. Although it is still too early to know exactly what could form, models are in agreement on this system's path through Florida. In the NHC's 8 p.m. report, the chance of formation remains slightly elevated, increasing the chance of formation in the next 48 hours to 30% and the seven-day chance to 70%. Some models show up to 18 inches of rain in parts of Central Florida. It comes just after Hurricane Helene hit the Big Bend region last week as a monster Category 4 storm. Many Floridians are still recovering from severe flooding, damaging storm surges and extreme destruction caused by winds exceeding 140 miles per hour. >> Chopper 2 video shows extensive damage from Hurricane Helene in St. Pete Beach, Tampa Bay and Fort Myers. >> Photos and videos show Helene's scary approach, violent impacts and devastating consequences in FloridaAs hurricane season continues, the NHC is monitoring several systems, including Major Hurricane Kirk and Tropical Storm Leslie. Click here for the latest information.First Warning WeatherStay with WESH 2 online and on the air for the most accurate weather forecast for Central Florida.RadarSevere Weather WarningsDownload the WESH 2 News app for the most up-to-date weather alerts.The First Warning Weather The team includes First Warning chief meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

Video above: Latest news about the tropics

According to the National Hurricane Center, Invest 92-L formed in the Gulf of Mexico on Friday evening and could become a tropical depression early next week. It would be called Milton.

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Although it is still too early to know exactly what could form, models are in agreement on this system's path through Florida.

The chances of a formation remain slightly elevated in the NHC's 8 p.m. advisory, increasing the chance of a formation in the next 48 hours to 30% and the seven-day chance to 70%.

Some models show up to 18 inches of rain in parts of Central Florida.

Amounts of rain possible

It comes just after Hurricane Helene hit the Big Bend region last week as a monster Category 4 storm. Many Floridians are still recovering from severe flooding, devastating storm surges and extreme devastation caused by winds exceeding 140 miles per hour.

>> Video from Chopper 2 shows extensive damage from Hurricane Helene in St. Pete Beach, Tampa Bay, Fort Myers

>> Photos and videos show Helene's sinister approach, the violent effects and the devastating consequences in Florida

As hurricane season continues, the NHC is monitoring several systems, including Major Hurricane Kirk and Tropical Storm Leslie. Click here for the latest information.

First warning weather

Stay with WESH 2 online and on air for the most accurate weather forecast for Central Florida.

Download the WESH 2 News app to receive the latest weather warnings.

The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning's chief meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

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