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College Football 25: Does EA Sports' draft engine correctly understand the ratings of young players?

From the beginning, EA Sports has prided itself on developing football games that are as close to real life as possible.

The first video game to bear John Madden's name was released in 1988 (John Madden Football) and allowed players to change the weather and volume at the line of scrimmage. The EA Sports tradition continued throughout the '90s and 2000s. With expansions to the hugely popular Madden and NCAA football franchises, players saw evolutions and changes to the products designed to give them a more lifelike feel.

The latest and long-awaited installment, College Football 25, is no exception – just ask any of the players who spent their time berating their (virtual) coach for not recruiting a better kicker.

But how did EA Sports do when it came to analyzing and evaluating potential NFL draft prospects? The popular Dynasty mode provides (somewhat paltry) draft results at the end of each season. I simulated the 2025 season 10 times to get a feel for what those results would look like. Do they hold up to our expectations for the 2025 draft class? Let's take a look at how accurate these player rankings – and draft results – might be.

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The CFB 25 traction engine

The game generates draft results after each season in Franchise Mode. There's no real order, just “first round” or “second round” and so on. And unfortunately, players don't have the ability to export a class to the Madden universe like they could in previous versions of the game.

So I simulated the upcoming season 10 times to get a feel for how College Football 25 rates the 2025 NFL Draft. While the results weren't unanimous, a few core players appeared as first-rounders far more often than the rest.

These players:

The most likely picks of the first round of the NCAA 25

position player School

QB

Carson Beck

QB

Shedeur Sanders

RB

Ollie Gordon II

RB

Quinson Judkins

WR/CB

Travis Hunter

WR

Tetairoa McMillan

WR

Luther Burden III

WR

Emeka Egbuka

OT

Will Campbell

OT

Kelvin Banks Jr.

OT

Airontae Ersey

G/C

Tate Ratledge

edge

James Pearce Jr.

edge

Mykel Williams

DT

Mason Graham

LB

Barrett Carter

LB

Jay Higgins

CB

Will Johnson

CB

Benjamin Morrison

S

Malaki Starks

If this group looks frighteningly similar to the game's top-ranked players overall, it's no coincidence. These rankings clearly drive the mock draft engine the game uses to determine which players go in which round. Those ranked in the 30-50 range — guys like Michigan's Colston Loveland, Alabama's Parker Brailsford and LSU's Harold Perkins Jr. — were often first-rounders, but not always.

The QB ratings

The biggest problem with player ratings in the game is one that appeals to the casual football viewer and generally makes the game more entertaining: Almost all quarterbacks and running backs are rated way too high.

Oregon quarterback Dillon Gabriel, for example, is the 30th best player in the game and the fourth best quarterback (behind Shedeur Sanders, Carson Beck and Quinn Ewers, in that order), so Gabriel shows up as a first-round pick quite often. As a sixth-year player, he has thrown for nearly 15,000 yards and is about to enter his third major program – a great college player who now leads arguably the most talented team in college football.

He is also 5 foot 10, barely 200 pounds and decided not a candidate for the first round of the 2025 draft. In fact The athleteThe Dane Brugler recently rated him as the 14th best experienced passer at the start of the season.

Other quarterbacks I think are overrated are: Liberty's Kaidon Salter (QB5), Kansas' Jalon Daniels (QB7), Arizona's Noah Fifita (QB8), and Utah's Cameron Rising (QB10). Conversely, I think the following quarterbacks are underrated: Texas A&M's Conner Weigman (QB12), Notre Dame's Riley Leonard (QB14), Penn State's Drew Allar (QB17), USC's Miller Moss (QB28), and Florida's Graham Mertz (QB37).

It's pretty obvious what's going on here: The guys with the best stats and metrics tend to be valued higher than those who haven't been in the spotlight as long, regardless of competition or context. At the same time, the game does a really good job of giving recognition to players like Memphis' Seth Henigan (QB11).

To me, Gabriel is the most overrated offensive player in the game. But if the biggest criticism is that competitive veterans like Gabriel and NC State's Grayson McCall have been rewarded with slightly higher ratings than they would get in real life, so be it.

The most underrated talents in the game

Actually, I have two.

This game has more realistically rendered offensive line play (and player ratings in general) than I remember. Still, it's one of the more inconsistent areas of the game. Take LSU right tackle Emery Jones Jr., for example. Like his teammate/linemate Will Campbell, Jones will start the season with first-round ratings — he's ranked way up there at No. 13 on Brugler's first big board. Not in the video game, though, where he's the 92nd player for some reason.

Additionally, nine running backs are ranked in the game's top 50 and 14 in the top 100. That makes sense in the world of video games, but it's not realistic in the NFL Draft.

And if we're going to build running backs, why not go with the guy who's the hardest to tackle? Boise State's Ashton Jeanty is far better than the No. 10 running back in the class that EA Sports has him at. He's absolutely in the top three for 2025 and possibly the best overall. (Brugler has him at No. 1 right now.) Rutgers' Kyle Monangai gets the second spot for least respected running back.

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The most overrated talents in the game

Linebackers also got the same treatment as quarterbacks/running backs. One game mode lets you build a career as a player at a single position, with middle linebacker also being an option. This is entertaining, as the MLB position is one of the easiest to play in a video game, but overall, there is far too much attention paid to this position.

Iowa linebacker Jay Higgins, for example, is not among the top 16 young prospects in the country. Neither is Clemson linebacker Barrett Carter. According to College Football 25, both reach those elite heights.

Higgins is an exception in my eyes, though, as he made 171 tackles last season at Iowa, at the heart of a defense that was forced to support an essentially quarterbackless offense for most of Higgins' career. That rating is wrong, but the intent — both in the video game and from a “this is what college football should be about” perspective — is fine.

Final thoughts

As is the case every year with Madden's preseason ratings, it's all in the eye of the beholder. However, I was impressed with how many legitimate small-school NFL Draft prospects are correctly rated in the game and, furthermore, how every player on every team is (for the most part) about where they should be.

Of course, there are exceptions. Here's how my preseason top positions differ from those in College Football 25:

Draft rankings: NCAA 25 vs. Baumgardner

position player School position player School

QB1

Shedeur Sanders

Colorado

QB1

Carson Beck

Georgia

QB2

Carson Beck

Georgia

QB2

Shedeur Sanders

Colorado

QB3

Dillon Gabriel

Oregon

QB3

Quinn Ewers

Texas

RB1

Ollie Gordon II

State of Oklahoma

RB1

Ollie Gordon II

State of Oklahoma

RB2

Quinshon Judkins

Ohio State

RB2

Ashton Jeanty

Boise State

RB3

Omarion Hampton

North Carolina

RB3

Quinshon Judkins

Ohio State

WR1

Travis Hunter

Colorado

WR1

Tetairoa McMillan

Arizona

WR2

Luther Burden III

Missouri

WR2

Luther Burden III

Missouri

WR3

Tetairoa McMillan

Arizona

WR3

Travis Hunter

Colorado

TE1

Colston Loveland

Michigan

TE1

Colston Loveland

Michigan

TE2

Oronde Gadsden II

Syracuse

TE2

Michael Taylor

LSU

TE3

Mitchell Evans

Notre-Dame

TE3

Oscar Delp

Georgia

OT1

Will Campbell

LSU

OT1

Will Campbell

LSU

OT2

Kelvin Banks Jr.

Texas

OT2

Kelvin Banks Jr.

Texas

OT3

Aireontae Ersery

Minnesota

OT3

Emery Jones Jr.

LSU

iOL1

Tate Ratledge

Georgia

iOL1

Donovan Jackson

Ohio State

iOL2

Parker Brailsford

Alabama

iOL2

Jonah Savaiinaea

Arizona

iOL3

Clay Webb

State of Jacksonville

iOL3

Tyler Booker

Alabama

Edge1

James Pearce Jr.

Tennessee

Edge1

James Pearce Jr.

Tennessee

Edge2

Mykel Williams

Georgia

Edge2

Mykel Williams

Georgia

Edge3

Jack Sawyer

Ohio State

Edge3

Abdul Carter

Penn State

DT1

Mason Graham

Michigan

DT1

Mason Graham

Michigan

DT2

Deone Walker

Kentucky

DT2

Deone Walker

Kentucky

DT3

Walter Nolen

Ole Miss

DT3

Kenneth Grant

Michigan

LB1

Barrett Carter

Clemson

LB1

Harold Perkins Jr.

LSU

LB2

Jay Higgins

Iowa

LB2

Daniel Stutsman

Oklahoma

LB3

Harold Perkins Jr.

LSU

LB3

Barrett Carter

Clemson

CB1

Will Johnson

Michigan

CB1

Will Johnson

Michigan

CB2

Benjamin Morrison

Notre-Dame

CB2

Benjamin Morrison

Notre-Dame

CB3

Tacario Davis

Arizona

CB3

Denzel Burke

Ohio State

SAF1

Malaki Starks

Georgia

SAF1

Malaki Starks

Georgia

SAF2

Xavier Watts

Notre-Dame

SAF2

Xavier Nwankpa

Iowa

SAF3

Malachi Moore

Alabama

SAF3

Xavier Watts

Notre-Dame

If you've played the game, let us know your thoughts on the draft engine and player ratings in the comments. Who is EA Sports missing? Who is getting too much credit right now?

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(Gameplay screenshots courtesy of EA Sports)