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In which regions of the United States have real estate prices increased the most over the last five years?

Home prices remain high, although mortgage rates are beginning to trend downward as many lenders focus onor a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September.

The pandemic increased prices on the real estate market byshifted buyer preferences to new geographic areas and led to an increase in savings that drove some households into the market, increasing demand. The increased demand with relatively constant supply led to a rapid increase in prices and at the same time the Fed began to raise interest rates, which pushed some potential buyers even further out of the market.

The Federal Finance Housing Authority (FFHA) publishes a monthly report called the Home Price Index (HPI) on changes in housing prices, which includes a regional and national perspective.

The HPI tracks changes in average prices “as the same properties are sold or refinanced” to gain insight into fluctuations in certain, more populated housing markets.We obtain this information by reviewing transactions for single-family homes with mortgages purchased or securitized by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac.”, the agency explains. By looking at the same group of properties, the agency can create a historical data set going back to 1975. However, because it does not track all sales, the percentage increases recorded by the HPI are likely higher than if all sales were included. When comparing prices in June 2024 to those in June 2019, prices have increased by 57.59 percent, with prices increasing at different rates in different regions.

Regional price changes

  1. South Atlantic | Delaware, Maryland, District of Columbia, Virginia, West Virginia, North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia, Florida: 69.20%
  2. New England | Maine, New Hampshire, Vermont, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Connecticut: 64.64%
  3. East South Central | Kentucky, Tennessee, Mississippi, Alabama: 61.70%
  4. Mountain | Montana, Idaho, Wyoming, Nevada, Utah, Colorado, Arizona, New Mexico: 60.80%
  5. Mid-Atlantic | New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania: 58.71%
  6. East North Central | East-north-central Michigan, Wisconsin, Illinois, Indiana, Ohio: 57.28%
  7. West North Center | West-North Central: North Dakota, South Dakota, Minnesota, Nebraska, Iowa, Kansas, Missouri: 50.42%
  8. West South Center | West-South Central: Oklahoma, Arkansas, Texas, Louisiana: 49.14%
  9. Pacific | Hawaii, Alaska, Washington, Oregon, California: 48.21%

United States: 57.79%

Comparison of these data with the prices for new buildings

However, data from the U.S. Census Bureau, which studies new home sales, estimates that prices increased 27 percent between 2019 and 2024. The Census Bureau only tracks price changes for four regions: the Northeast, West, South, and Midwest. According to their latest release covering the second quarter of 2024, new home prices increased the most in the Northeast (54.69%), followed by homes in the Midwest (36.05%), the West (30.55%), and finally the South (27.09%).

Comparing the two indicators, it's clear that home prices have increased the most in the Northeast and New England over the past five years. The five states that make up New England – Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island and Vermont – have seen population growth in recent years, which could lead to a rise in home prices as buyers face more competition.

More houses may come onto the market

Redfin has reported that the number of listings is increasing, which could contribute to a drop in prices. Last year, prices rose 3.4 percent, according to the online real estate information center. By comparison, from August 2022 to August 2023, the number of new listings fell 11.7 percent, compared to a 14.7 percent drop the year before.