Odds, tips and predictions for Toronto Blue Jays at Atlanta Braves

The Toronto Blue Jays (67-74) and Atlanta Braves (76-64) begin a 3-game series on Friday. First pitch from Truist Park is scheduled for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let's check out FanDuel Sportsbook's odds around the Blue Jays vs Braves Opportunities and place your best bets with our expert MLB tips and predictions.

Season series: First meeting; Blue Jays won all 3 meetings in 2023

The Blue Jays head to Atlanta after losing two games at home to Philadelphia. They played the Phillies hard; the total point differential was 3 points. Toronto has a 15-20 record in interleague play and the Blue Jays are playing out the series at this point, 14 games in a row in the AL East.

Atlanta won 2 of 3 games against the Colorado Rockies to start their 6-game home series. They defeated Colorado 9-5 in the 3-game series. The Braves have a 38-29 home record. Atlanta is tied with the New York Mets for the final NL Wild Card spot.

Expected starters for Blue Jays and Braves

RHP Kevin Gausman against LHP Max Fried

Gausman (12-10, 4.07 ERA) is making his 28th career start. He has a WHIP of 1.23, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 157 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 4 K in a 2-0 road loss to Minnesota Twins on August 30
• 2024 Away Splits: 7-4, 2.52 ERA (75 IP, 27 R (21 ER), 1.12 WHIP, 8.2 K/9 in 13 starts
• Career against Braves: 0-0, 1.32 ERA (13 2/3 IP, 2 ER), 0.98 WHIP, 4.8 K/9 in 2 starts

Fried (8-8, 3.52 ERA) is making his 25th start. He has a WHIP of 1.21, 3.2 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 140 2/3 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 7 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 4 BB, 4 K in a 3-0 road loss to the Philadelphia Phillies on Saturday
• 2024 Home Splits: 2-3, 4.05 ERA (53 1/3 IP, 25 R (24 ER), 1.43 WHIP, 7.3 K/9 in 9 starts
• Career against Blue Jays: 1-0, 1.50 ERA (12 IP, 2 ER), 0.92 WHIP, 5.3 K/9 in 2 starts

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Odds for Blue Jays vs Braves

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; visit the USA TODAY sports scores and betting odds hub for a complete list. Odds last updated at 6:34 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays +152 (bet $100 to win $152) | Braves -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
• Run Line (RL)/Against the Spread: Blue Jays +1.5 (-140) | Braves -1.5 (+116)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Tips and predictions for the Blue Jays at the Braves

forecast

Braves 4, Blue Jays 2

Money line

HAPPEN.

The Braves (-180) will win the opener of this series at home, but I'm definitely betting on the run line odds.

Running Line/Against the Spread

Bet on the Braves -1.5 (+116).

The Atlanta Braves have a must-win situation when they face the Blue Jays at home, making them a safe bet to cover the -1.5 run line. With their playoff hopes on the line, the Braves can't afford to lose games like this to a team that's simply playing down the stretch. Atlanta has been strong in interleague play this season (27-13) and has held up well at home with a 38-29 record at Truist Park.

On the other hand, the Blue Jays are struggling, still winless in September and holding a shaky 33-39 record on the road. Toronto's offense has also struggled against left-handed pitchers, only managing a .231 batting average as a team. Considering how much the Braves need this win, expect them to come out strong and cover the run line.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8 (-110).

The decision to bet the Blue Jays vs Braves on the under seems like a smart move, especially given the pitching matchup. While I'm leaning towards a Braves win, Gausman has been excellent on the road, allowing just 2 ER in his last 12 2/3 IP.

These teams also tend to play lower scoring games, with the Under being beaten in 5 of the last 7 meetings. Recently, Toronto has beaten the Under in 6 of the last 8 games and Atlanta has beaten the Under in 5 straight games. With both teams relying on their pitching, this should be a low scoring game.

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