NFL 2024 Week 1 Betting – Jets-49ers Odds, Picks and Lines

Week 1 NFL action concludes Monday night with Aaron Rodgers and the New York Jets visiting the reigning NFC champion San Francisco 49ers. Rodgers, who tore his Achilles after just four snaps last season, will be playing not far from his college home of Cal, but his Jets are trailing by 4.5 points.

New York finished 7-10 last season, but, buoyed by Rodgers' return, is the favorite to win the AFC East (+160). The 49ers just qualified for the Super Bowl and have a 6-1 chance to win the Lombardi Trophy this season, trailing only the Kansas City Chiefs (5-1).

Monday Night Football begins at 8:20 p.m. ET (on ESPN ABC ESPN+).

Odds current at time of publication, courtesy of ESPN BET

Game lines

Spread: 49ers -4.5
Money line: Jets (+175), 49ers (-210)
Over/Under: 43.5

Distribution of the first half: 49ers -2.5 (-140), Jets +2.5 (+113)
Jets total points: 19.5 (Over -120/Under -110)
49ers total points: 24.5 (Over +105/Under -135)

The props

Passing by

Brock Purdy’s total passing yards: 249.5 (Over +105/Under -140)
Purdy’s total passing touchdowns: 1.5 (Over to be announced/Under to be announced)
Aaron Rodgers total passing yards: 249.5 (Over +115/Under -155)
Rodgers total passing touchdowns: 1.5 (Over +115/Under -145)

Rush

Christian McCaffrey's total rushing yards: 79.5 (Over +105/Under -140)
Breece Hall’s total rushing yards: 69.5 (Over +105/Under – 140)

Reception

Garrett Wilson: Total Receiving Yards: 69.5 (Over -120/Under -110)
Brandon Aiyuk – Total Receiving Yards: 59.5 (Over +105/Under -135)
Deebo Samuel Sr. Total Receiving Yards: 49.5 (Over -110/Under -115)
George Kittle, total receiving yards: 44.5 (Over -100/Under -130)
McCaffrey's total receiving yards: 39.5 (Over +105/Under -135)
Hall’s total receiving yards: 29.5 (Over +105/Under -132)

Favorite selection

Nozzles +4.5: Over the last 24 years, the loser of the Super Bowl has a 5-19 record against the spread in Week 1 of the following season. Yes, I'm looking at you, San Francisco. In addition, Kyle Shanahan has just a 2-5 record against the spread in Week 1 as the 49ers' head coach.

Is Christian McCaffrey 100% fit? What about Trent Williams and Brandon Aiyuk? Do we trust San Francisco's offensive line? And what about the fact that Nick Sorensen is the team's fourth different defensive coordinator in the last five years? These are all valid questions.

On the Jets side of the equation, I get 4.5 points with a great defense, above-average quarterback, improved offensive line and real weapons in Breece Hall and Garrett Wilson. Needless to say, I like the dog here. — Joe Fortenbaugh

Betting trends

Courtesy of ESPN Stats & Information

• The record of teams that lost the previous year's Super Bowl is 5-19 ATS and 10-14 in Week 1 since 2000 (3-7 ATS in the last 10 seasons).

• The 49ers are 0-7 ATS in their last seven home games (including the playoffs) (4-3 overall, all as favorites). It is their longest home ATS losing streak since 1982-83 (10).

• In nine of the last ten seasons, the 49ers' Week 1 games have been below average.

• The Jets are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 primetime games (2-3 ATS last season, last three losses).

• The Jets were 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games last season.

• In three seasons under Robert Saleh, the Jets finished 20-31 ATS, the second-worst record in the NFL during that time.

• The prime-time unders are 70-42-1 over the last two seasons (35-23 last season).

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