Milwaukee Brewers at Arizona Diamondbacks: odds, tips and predictions

The Arizona Diamondbacks (82-64) welcome the Milwaukee Brewers (84-62) to Chase Field on Friday to open a 3-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let's check out BetMGM Sportsbook's MLB odds around the Brewers vs Diamondbacks Opportunities and place your best bets with our expert MLB tips and predictions.

Season series: First meeting; Arizona won last year's regular season series 4-2

The Diamondbacks beat the Texas Rangers 14-4 on Wednesday to complete a 2-game sweep. They finished the contest as -157 favorites, but have been underdogs in the moneyline (ML) in 4 of their last 6 games. Arizona has won 3 straight games and is 5-3 in their last 8 games. They are 41-31 at home and 77-69 against the spread (ATS) this season.

The Brewers won 3-0 at the San Francisco Giants on Thursday and entered the series finale as -130 favorites. They have alternated wins and losses in their last 6 games and have a 3-5 record in their last 8 games. Before the game against the Giants, Milwaukee had lost 2 of 3 games against the St. Louis Cardinals (September 2-4) and the Colorado Rockies (September 6-8). They are 42-33 on the road and 77-69 ATS on the season.

Expected starters for the Brewers at the Diamondbacks

RHP Freddy Peralta against LHP Eduardo Rodriguez

Peralta (10-8, 3.81 ERA) is making his 30th start. He has a WHIP of 1.22, 3.4 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 in 158 1/3 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 4 K in the 4-1 home loss to Rockies on Sunday
• Away statistics 2024: 4-3, 3.39 ERA (69 IP, 26 ER), 1.25 WHIP, 10.4 K/9 in 13 starts
• Career vs. Diamondbacks: 3-0, 0.55 ERA (16 1/3 IP, 1 ER), 0.61 WHIP, 13.2 K/9 in 4 appearances (2 starts)

Rodriguez (2-2, 5.83 ERA) is making his 7th start. He has a WHIP of 1.53, 3.1 BB/9 and 5.5 K/9 in 29 1/3 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 1 K in 11-5 road loss to Houston Astros on Saturday
• Home stats 2024: 0-1, 6.91 ERA (14 1/3 IP, 11 ER), 1.54 WHIP, 6.9 K/9 in 3 starts
• Career against the Brewers: 0-0, 1.50 ERA (6 IP, 1 ER), 3 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 1 start, a 4-1 road win on May 11, 2017 against the Boston Red Sox

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Odds for Brewers at Diamondbacks

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; visit the USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds Hub for a complete list of MLB odds. Odds last updated at 10:01 a.m. ET.

• Money line: Brewers -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Diamondbacks -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
• Run Line (RL)/Against the Spread: Brewers -1.5 (+155) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-190)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Tips and predictions for the Brewers at the Diamondbacks

forecast

Diamondbacks 6, Brewers 3

Money line

BET DIAMONDBACKS (-115).

The Diamondbacks are on a tear offensively and there doesn't seem to be an end in sight. They have scored 32 runs in their last 3 games and at least 6 in 9 of their last 12 games. They are 4-2 in Rodriguez's last 6 starts.

The Brewers have alternated wins and losses in six straight games and are now coming away with a win. If that trend continues, they will lose on Friday. Milwaukee lost Peralta's last start, 4-1, to the Rockies. Milwaukee has allowed 15 runs in the last three games.

Given these trends DIAMONDS (-115).

Running Line/Against the Spread

HAPPEN.

For the reasons stated above, it's too risky to use the Brewers as run-line favorites, and the Diamondbacks are way too expensive and not worth using as run-line underdogs.

Avoid this bet.

Over/Under

Bet over 8.5 (-105).

The Diamondbacks have an electrifying offense and have scored more than the total in 10 of their last 12 games. In their last 5 games, they have allowed 29 runs and scored 37 in that span. Arizona has an 84-56-6 O/U record and should continue its red-hot hitting performance.

The Brewers are a different story. They have gone under in 6 of their last 7 games, but are 77-61-8 O/U this season. Seasonal trends suggest they usually beat the total. They have scored at least 3 runs in 3 of their last 5 games.

Take OVER 8.5 (-105).

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