Fresno State vs. New Mexico State

This game will essentially depend on two aspects. Will New Mexico State be able to rely on its running game consistently? And will new NMSU defensive coordinator Joe Morris, known for his schemes to outsmart more talented offensive players, be able to throw Fresno State's offense out of rhythm?

If NMSU accomplishes both of these tasks, it could be a very exciting game. But if NMSU fails in both of these areas, Fresno State could pull off a victory of epic proportions.

New Mexico State is completing just 35 percent of its passes and has just 16 completed passes through two games. If Fresno State takes an early lead this week, the Aggies won't be throwing 78-yard touchdown passes to stay in range like Sac State did last week.

Ultimately, I think Fresno State's commitment to physicality and stopping runs throughout the offseason will show this week. New Mexico State will be more likely to stretch the field than Michigan's power running attempt, but I expect the Bulldogs to be similarly stingy. And I also expect that even if New Mexico State's defense gives the Bulldogs some problems, Fresno State's offensive talent will win out in the end.

Fresno State is expected to win by a wide margin, but the game could be tough for a quarter or two unless the Dogs start with another 75-yard touchdown.

Fresno State 34, New Mexico State 13