Atlanta Braves at Cincinnati Reds: odds, tips and predictions

The Atlanta Braves (82-70) and Cincinnati Reds (74-79) finish a 3-game series on Thursday. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET. Let's check out BetMGM Sportsbook's MLB odds around the Odds for Braves vs. Reds and place your best bets with our expert MLB tips and predictions.

Season series: Reds lead 4:1

The Braves finally broke through the Reds on Wednesday night with a 7-1 win, their first against Cincinnati this season. SP Spencer Schwellenbach was sharp and allowed only 1 run on 5 hits and 2 walks with 5 Ks in 6 innings. DH Marcell Ozuna went 3 for 4 with a home run and 2 RBIs, while 3B Gio Urshela scored 3 runs. The win ended a 3-game losing streak for Atlanta.

Reds SP Jacob Junis pitched 6 strong innings (1 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 6 K), but the Reds bullpen couldn't keep up. RPs Tony Santillan And Justin Wilson have allowed a total of 5 runs in 1 1/3 innings. CF TJ Friedl scored the only run for Cincinnati with a sacrifice fly in the 6th inning.

Expected Braves starters at Reds

RHP Chris Sales against RHP Julian Aguiar

Sale (17-3, 2.35 ERA) is making his 29th start. He has a WHIP of 1.00, 1.9 BB/9 and 11.4 K/9 in 172 2/3 IP.

• Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 6 K in the 10-1 home win against LA Dodgers on Saturday
• 2024 Away Splits: 7-3, 2.42 ERA (85 2/3 IP, 23 ER), 1.02 WHIP, 12.2 K/9 in 14 starts
• Last start against the Reds: No decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 6 K in the 8-2 home win on June 1, 2023 as a member of the Boston Red Sox

Aguiar (2-0, 4.88 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a WHIP of 1.23, 3.3 BB/9 and 4.9 K/9 in 27 2/3 IP.

• Last start: Win, 6 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 4 K in the 8-4 win over the Minnesota Twins on Friday
• 2024 Home Splits: 0-0, 10.80 ERA (6 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 2.25 WHIP, 4.1 K/9 in 2 starts
• Has never played against Braves

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Braves vs Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; visit the USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds Hub for a complete list of MLB odds. Odds last updated at 11:35 p.m. ET on Wednesday.

• Moneyline (ML): Braves -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Reds +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
• Running Line (RL)/Against the Spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (-125) | Reds +1.5 (+105)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Tips and predictions for the Braves at the Reds

forecast

Braves 5, Reds 1

Money line

HAPPEN.

The Braves (-200) will win this game and the series on Thursday afternoon, but I'm betting on the better odds on the run line.

Running Line/Against the Spread

Bet on the Braves -1.5 (-125).

Betting on the Braves to cover the run line on Thursday seems like a smart move with Sale on the mound. He has been excellent lately, not losing a start since June 27.

The Reds, on the other hand, have major problems with left-handed pitchers, having only a .226 batting average as a team and a 16-25 record against left-handed pitchers this season. Additionally, Cincinnati hasn't been particularly good in day games and has a 24-35 record this season. With Atlanta only two games back in the Wild Card race, it will be motivated to get the win.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8 (-105).

With Sale as a pitcher, going under seems like a smart move. He has been outstanding, allowing more than 2 earned runs only three times in 28 starts this year. In fact, he has allowed 1 run or less in half of those games.

The big question is how good Atlanta can be on offense, but with Sale likely to keep the Reds in check, the under strategy seems to be the best solution.

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