Bengals vs. Commanders odds, line, spread, prediction: Monday Night Football picks according to NFL model at 187-130 run

Two Heisman Trophy-winning quarterbacks will be on the field when Joe Burrow and the Cincinnati Bengals host Jayden Daniels and the Washington Commanders in the second of two Monday Night Football games. Burrow and the Bengals are still looking for their first win of the season after suffering a 26-25 loss to the Kansas City Chiefs last week. The Commanders, meanwhile, will be looking to pick up their second straight win after defeating the New York Giants 21-18 last week.

Kickoff at Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati is set for 8:15 p.m. ET. Cincinnati is a 7.5-point favorite in the latest Commanders vs. Bengals odds, according to SportsLine Consensus, while the over/under for total points is 46.5. Before you make your Bengals vs. Commanders bet, be sure to check out the NFL predictions and betting tips from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, has gained well over $7,000 in top-rated NFL picks for $100 players since its launch. The model enters Week 3 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 187-130 run in top-rated NFL picks dating back to the 2017 season. It's also on a 41-22 run in top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 2022.

The model has also been in the top 10 in pure NFL picks on NFLPickWatch four of the last six years and has beaten more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em four times during that time. Anyone who has been following it is way up there!

The model has now simulated Commanders vs. Bengals 10,000 times and just announced its coveted NFL picks. Head to SportsLine now to see them. Here are several NFL odds and NFL betting lines for the spread, money line and over/under for Bengals vs. Commanders:

• Bengals vs. Commanders Spread: Cincinnati -7.5
• Bengals vs. Commanders over/under: 46.5 points
• Bengals vs. Commanders Money Line: Cincinnati -357, Washington +283
• WASH: Commanders have achieved 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games
• CIN: Bengals have scored first in five of their last six home games
• Bengals vs. Commanders Tips: See Tips at SportsLine

Why the Bengals can cover

Despite their 0-2 record, the Bengals are still talented on both sides of the ball. So far, Cincinnati ranks 10th in the NFL in total defense (288) and 2nd in pass defense (128.5). Cincinnati also allows 21 points per game. Defensive end Trey Hendrickson is an effective pass rusher who finds a way to put opposing quarterbacks in difficult situations. The 29-year-old has 12 total pressures, seven hurries and two sacks.

Cornerback Cam Taylor-Britt is a physical defender who can use his strong straight-line speed to make up ground. Through two games, the Nebraska product has totaled nine tackles, two pass defenses and an interception. Linebacker Logan Wilson is an additional force in finding his way to the ball. He leads the team in tackles (24) with 12 stops in back-to-back games. See who to back at SportsLine.

Why the Commanders can cover

Despite having a rookie playmaker, Washington has one of the NFL's most explosive offenses. The Commanders have averaged 362.0 yards per game this season, sixth in the league. They have been especially effective on the ground, averaging 176.5 rushing yards per game, third most in the NFL.

Washington rushed for 215 yards in last week's win over New York. Running back Brian Robinson Jr. led the way in Washington's win, hauling in 17 carries for 133 yards. This season, Robinson Jr. has 173 rushing yards and a touchdown on 29 carries. He averages 6.0 yards per carry and will now look to pick apart Cincinnati's defense, which is allowing 159.5 rushing yards per game this season. See who to bet on at SportsLine.

How to make your picks for Commanders vs. Bengals

SportsLine's model is trending above the total, predicting the teams to combine for 56 points. The model also says one side of the spread will score in well over 50% of simulations. Head over to SportsLine to see the picks.

So who will win between the Commanders and Bengals on Monday Night Football and which side of the spread will win over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Commanders vs. Bengals spread you should bet on, all using the model that has returned well over $7,000 in top-rated NFL picks, and find out.