Miami Marlins and Minnesota Twins odds, tips and predictions

The Miami Marlins (58-100) and the Minnesota Twins (82-76) complete a three-game interleague series on Thursday at Target Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's 24/7 MLB odds Marlins vs. Twins Opportunities and meet our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: 1-1 draw

The Marlins suffered their 100th loss of the season in Wednesday's 8-3 setback when the over conceded (8.5). Miami is just 4-11 in their last 15 games since September 9th while they are 2-7 in their last 9 road games. The Under is also 5-1-1 in their last 7 away attempts.

With the 8-3 win, the Twins ended a three-game losing streak. Minnesota is still in the hunt for a postseason berth, two games shy of a wild-card spot, while only a half-game ahead of the Seattle Mariners, who have four games left to play.

Miami has a 15-27 record in 42 interleague games this season, while Minnesota has a 18-27 record in 45 games against the NL.

Marlins at Twins scheduled starter

RHP Valente Bellozo vs RHP David Festa

Bellozo (3-4, 3.82 ERA) is making his 13th career start. He has a WHIP of 1.30, 2.8 BB/9 and 5.9 K/9 in 63 2/3 IP.

• Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 7 H (2 HR), 1 BB, 3 K in a 4-3 home win over Atlanta Braves on Friday
• 2024 career/road split: 1-2, 3.41 ERA, 37 IP, 14 ER, 34 H, 8 HR, 9 BB, 25 K, .238 opponent batting average (OBA), 1.16 WHIP in 7 starts
• Last 7 games: 1-3, 5.00 ERA, 36 IP, 20 ER, 43 H, 14 BB, 19 K, 1.58 WHIP
• Has never faced twins

Festa (2-6, 4.80 ERA) is making his 13th career start and 14th appearance. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 in 60 IP.

• Last start: No decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 6 K in a 4-2 road win in 12 innings against the Boston Red Sox on Friday
• 2024 home division: 0-4, 6.00 ERA, 30 IP, 20 ER, 7 HR, 14 BB, 36 K, .241 OBA, 1.40 WHIP in 6 starts (7 appearances)
• Has never faced Marlins

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Marlins at Twins odds

Powered by BetMGM Sportsbook; Visit the USA TODAY sports scores and sports betting hub for a complete list of MLB odds. Lines were last updated at 6:51 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Marlins +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Gemini -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
• Run Line (RL)/Against the Spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (+100) | Gemini -1.5 (-120)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Marlins at Twins picks and predictions

forecast

Marlins 5, Twins 4

Money line

The MARLINS (+200) are a strong value on the road in this interleague series finale. Yes, Miami has 100 losses this season. However, the rookie Bellozo made a pretty good pitch and has a slight advantage over the rookie Festa.

Festa was beaten down at home this season, going 0-4 with a 6.00 ERA in 6 starts and one relief appearance. The rookie pitching battle should go in favor of the visitors.

Running Line/Against the Spread

If you're a little less adventurous, MARLIN'S +1.5 (+100) is still a worthwhile piece. No one can blame you for wanting a little insurance on a 100-loss team rather than playing against a strong underdog. Just don't play both.

Over/Under

ABOVE 8.5 (-120) is the lean, but go with a Half-unit game at most in this rookie pitcher battle.

The over is 3-1 in Minnesota's last 4 games while it is 6-2 in their last 8 interleague contests. In the last 8 home games the record has risen to a high of 6-1-1.

For the Marlins, the over is a slight 4-3-1 in their last 8 games. But be careful because the minors have scored four times in a row for Bellozo.

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