Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals prediction, September 27, 2024 MLB tips, best bets and odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals

Date: Friday, September 27, 2024

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, DC

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

The Washington Nationals (69-89) take on the Philadelphia Phillies (94-65) on Friday at Nationals Park. The expected starting players will be Ranger Suarez and Trevor Williams.

As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies score 4.9 runs per contest, which is 4th in baseball. They have driven in 774 runs and have a .326 on-base percentage. The Phillies have hit 284 doubles and knocked 196 baseballs out of the park as a team. They have compiled 740 runs batted in and 1,405 hits on the season while their batting average is .258. Philadelphia is batting .427 and has been called for strikes 1,344 times while walking 507 times.

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They have a strikeout-walk ratio of 3.21 and the pitching staff has posted a WHIP of 1.23. Phillies pitchers have hit 177 home runs and 653 total runs (10th in MLB). Philadelphia gave up 1,303 base hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and 600 earned runs. The Phillies have a 3.81 earned run average (9th in the league) so far this season and their team has struck out 1,401 hitters. They have walked 436 opposing batters and their FIP as a team is 3.86 this season.

The Phillies' bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 95 times, in addition to making an additional 166 appearances in high-leverage situations. The bullpen recorded 75 holds on the campaign (24th in MLB). The Phillies' relievers posted a save percentage of 65.5% and made it to the mound in 131 save situations. They have compiled 36 saves this year and missed 19 of their 55 save chances. Relief pitchers have carried 133 runners this year and 35.3% of those players have earned a run for their team. The Phillies have sent 506 relievers to the mound so far this year.

The Philadelphia Phillies have accumulated 4,253 putouts along with 1,442 assists and 83 errors at this point in the season. Their fielding percentage is .986, which is 13th in the majors, and they have collected 118 double plays. The Phillies have converted 69.4% of balls hit into outs in their 12,759 innings on the field, ranking them 20th in professional baseball.

Suarez has held the ball in 602 innings and has 552 strikeouts in his career. Suarez (career mark of 41-28) owns a 3.30 FIP while facing 2,531 batters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 3.35 (224 ERs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.274. He gave up 567 hits (8.5 hits per 9 innings) and walked 200.

The Nationals have a .373 slugging percentage and are scoring 4.04 runs per game (25th in the league). They recorded 265 doubles, 447 walks and 638 runs. Washington has tallied 130 long balls and 600 runs batted in this year. They struck out 1,182 times (26th in MLB) and totaled 1,263 base hits. The Washington Nationals have a team on-base percentage of .308 and a batting average of .241 for the season.

The Nationals have a WHIP of 1.333 in addition to a FIP of 3.94 as a unit for the year. They have achieved a K/BB ratio of 8.30 (1,284 strikeouts against 461 free passes). With a total of 1,403 hits conceded, they rank 28th in baseball. They conceded 165 long balls and allowed 4.81 runs per 9 innings (25th in the league). Washington's pitching staff has allowed 747 runs this season while maintaining a 4.30 ERA (668 earned runs conceded).

Washington relief pitchers have an inherited scoring percentage of 36.2% among their 218 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers were used 134 times in high-leverage situations and also 153 times with runners. In 142 save situations, the Nationals have 80 holds and 22 failed saves. They rank 15th in the league with a save percentage of 64.5% and have sent 554 relief pitchers to the mound this year. Washington has allowed bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 62 save opportunities and made 40 saves.

In 12,582 innings pitched, the Nationals have posted a defensive efficiency of 67.4% (29th in baseball). The Washington Nationals have made 153 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .981 (28th in baseball). The Nationals have recorded 1,399 assists, 107 errors and 4,194 total putouts this season.

So far in his career, Williams has given up 956 base hits and collected 755 K's in 920 innings pitched. Williams (career mark 49-55) owns a 4.34 ERA and has given up 9.4 hits per 9 innings. He gave up 443 ERs while earning a WHIP of 1.366 and owning a FIP of 4.3. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.52 and has faced 3,970 batters in his professional baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's pick: Take Philadelphia

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