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Nate Silver and Allan Lichtman clash in the 2024 presidential election

The feud between historian Allan Lichtman and forecaster Nate Silver is heating up on social media as Election Day approaches.

Lichtman, an American university professor who has correctly predicted the outcome of nine of the last 10 presidential elections, predicted earlier this month that Kamala Harris-Tim Walz would win the White House.

Since then, Silver, a political pollster and founder of FiveThirtyEight, has released data showing that Vice President Harris is ahead of former President Donald Trump in the national polling average by nearly three points – 48.9% to 46% – Trump and the vice presidential nominee JD Vance, however, has a 56.2% chance of winning the Electoral College, compared to Harris-Walz (43.5%).

Historian and American University professor Allan Lichtman, seen here answering questions during an interview with AFP on September 7, 2024 in Bethesda, Maryland, uses a model of 13 true/false criteria to predict whether the presidential candidate will be the incumbent Party will win or lose the next election.

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On Friday, Silver questioned Lichtman's ability to read his own 13 keys that he used to call presidential elections. “At least 7 of the keys, maybe 8, are clearly pro-Trump. Sorry bro, but that's what the keys say. Unless you admit they're completely random?” Silver posted on X, the social media site formerly known as Twitter.

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