Roman Dolidze vs Kevin Holland Pick, Oct 5, 2024 Predictions UFC 307 Odds

Roman Dolidze vs Kevin Holland

UFC 307

Delta Center in Salt Lake City

Saturday, October 5, 2024

Roman Dolidze will face Kevin Holland at UFC 307 on Saturday, October 5, 2024. The opening money line has Dolidze at +136 while Holland is at -162.

Roman Dolidze enters the octagon with a record of 13-3-0. The 36-year-old will fight at 185 pounds. and is 6 feet 2 inches tall. The orthodox fighter reaches 76 inches. Kevin “Trailblazer” Holland is 6 feet tall and weighs 185 pounds. The orthodox fighter enters the cage with a score of 26-11-0 (1 NC). The 31-year-old is 81 inches tall. When it comes to significant hits, Roman Dolidze lands 3.13 significant hits per minute and Kevin Holland lands 4.25 significant hits per minute. Dolidze scores on 42% of the significant attacks he attempts and Holland lands 49%. When it comes to defense in the Octagon, Dolidze is allowing 3.37 significant strikes per minute while “Trailblazer” is absorbing 3.20. Dolidze also blocks 50% of his opponents' significant punches and Holland is able to block 50% of the shots thrown his way.

When it comes to takedowns, Roman Dolidze averages more takedowns in the cage as he takes his opponents to the canvas 1.26 times every three rounds. Dolidze scores a takedown in 40% of his attempts and defends 33% of his opponents' takedowns. Holland takes his opponent to the mat on 38% of the takedowns he attempts and thwarts 54% of the takedowns his opponents have attempted. When it comes to subbing opponents, Dolidze is the more experienced technician with 1.1 submissions per 15 minutes, while Holland attempts 0.6 submissions per 15 minutes.

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The last time he fought, Roman Dolidze fought against Anthony Smith and ultimately won that fight via unanimous decision in round 3. Smith landed 51 of 93 total attempted punches in that fight. Dolidze ended the night with 103 of 188 total goals. In the significant hits category, Smith landed 51 of 93, giving him a rate of 54%. He ended up landing 27 of 67 significant blows to the head. On the other side of the octagon, Dolidze ended up landing 54% of his significant punches, landing 100 of 185. Looking at the significant shot accuracy, he landed 61 out of 135 on the head. 100% of Smith's significant hits and 65% of Dolidze's significant hits were scored from distance.

In Kevin Holland's last fight, he fought Michal Oleksiejczuk and took the win via an armbar from the bottom guard in round 1. Oleksiejczuk hit 75% of the key shots he attempted from distance, and Holland hit 100% of the key shots he attempted from distance. Holland landed 47% of his significant scoring attempts, hitting 8 of 17 goals. He ended up landing 5 of 13 significant hits aimed at the head. Oleksiejczuk scored eight of 18 significant goals in the competition. In terms of the accuracy of the decisive blows, he landed 5 out of 15 aimed at the head. As for the total number of punches thrown in this fight, Oleksiejczuk was 9 of 19 while Holland landed 8 of 17 of all the punches he attempted.

More fights to watch

Another match to look forward to is Stephen Thompson vs Joaquin Buckley. Thompson enters the Octagon with a mark of 17-7-1. The 41-year-old fights at 170 pounds. and measures 6 feet 0 inches. The Orthodox Fighter is 75 inches long. Buckley stands 5' 10″ and weighs 170 pounds. The southpaw enters the Octagon with a mark of 19-6-0. The 30-year-old measures 76″. In terms of takedowns, Stephen Thompson scores a takedown 0.26 times per 3 rounds and Joaquin Buckley scores 1.69 times per 15 minutes. When hitting, Thompson averages 4.11 strikes per minute and lands 46% of all punches he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Joaquin Buckley, who is landing 36% of his attempted punches and landing 4.25 per minute.

Another must-watch fight this evening is the duel between Ihor Potieria and Cesar Almeida. Almeida has a career mark of 5-1-0. The 36-year-old weighs 185 pounds. and measures 6' 1″. The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 74″. Potieria is 6 feet tall and weighs 185 pounds. The southpaw will look to add a win to his 20-6-0 record. The 28-year-old stands at 75 inches. In the takedown category, Cesar Almeida prevents 56% of his opponents' takedowns and brings them to the mat in 15% of his attempts. Potieria defeats his opponents on 15% of his attempts and defends against 57% of all attempts to eliminate him. When striking, Almeida absorbs 1.88 punches per minute while throwing 4.25 punches per minute. Potieria, on the other hand, absorbs 5.04 strikes per minute and distributes 5.13 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's pick: Take Roman Dolidze (+136)

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