Raiders vs. Broncos predictions, tips, odds and best bet for NFL Week 5

Bo Nix and the Denver Broncos will look for their third straight win when they host the Las Vegas Raiders on Sunday at 4:05 p.m. ET.

This will be the 128th meeting between the tough, longtime AFC West rivals, and the Raiders have won eight straight games and 10 of the last 11 meetings.

Denver has not won three straight games over the last two seasons. However, the Broncos come home with strong momentum after pulling off upsets off the road against the Buccaneers and Jets. Both teams have a 2-2 record and the Raiders beat Cleveland at home last week by four points.

The oddsmakers have the Broncos as 2.5-point favorites before kickoff. The over/under for the game is 42 points.

Broncos vs Raiders Predictions

• Broncos -2.5 (-120 odds at FanDuel Sportsbook)
• Under 35 (-105 at DraftKings Sportsbook)
• Javonte Williams is a TD scorer at all times (+165 odds at BetMGM Sportsbook)

*Quotations are valid from October 4th, 2024

Nix will try to become the first rookie quarterback in Denver to win three straight games and start. In his debut season in 1983, John Elway won his first two games and then lost his next six.

After losing the first two games of the season, Denver rebounded to win by 19 points in Tampa Bay and held off the Jets in New Jersey for a 10-9 victory. The Broncos are 3-1 ATS and 3-1 under this season.

Las Vegas trails 2-2. The Raiders are 2-2 ATS. The under is an attractive bet because Denver's defense has been very good and the Raiders look mediocre on offense.

Raiders WR Davante Adams is out with a hamstring injury and may not play for the team again. He reportedly requested a trade, with the Jets reportedly his main preference for a new team.

NFL Week 5 Raiders vs Broncos odds

Raiders vs. Broncos Moneyline Odds Analysis

Why the Broncos could be favorites to win

Best odds: -148 at DraftKings Sportsbook

The Broncos' defense has been stifling so far this season, ranking third in the NFL and allowing 13.5 points per game. Denver leads the AFC with 16 sacks.

Las Vegas fields the worst rushing offense in the AFC. If the Raiders can't run the ball, they'll have to blow up against Denver's secondary, which is a recipe for failure. Second-year CB Riley Moss is the 11th-best rated cornerback at Pro Football Focus.

LB Nik Bonitto will try to record a sack in his third straight game. DE John Franklin-Myers is also looking for a sack for the third straight game and has had a tackle for a loss in three of his last four games.

Nix has minimized turnovers in Denver's two wins in the last two weeks. He threw two interceptions in each of his first two games and none in the last two, while registering his first NFL TD pass to WR Courtland Sutton last week.

If Nix can lead Denver to a victory over the Raiders, he will further endear himself to the fan base. The Las Vegas run defense could also ensure the Broncos' ground game performs respectably.

Why the Raiders could win as underdogs

Best odds: +130 at FanDuel Sportsbook

This can be a defensive fight. Division games can often be tricky when familiar opponents face off without strong offense. Las Vegas' defense showed last week that the unit can make a crucial stop when needed.

DE Charles Snowden secured its 20-16 victory over Cleveland by sacking Deshaun Watson at the Raiders' nine-yard line with 41 seconds left. Las Vegas limited the Browns to 241 total yards.

LB Robert Spillane finished the game with 12 tackles and has totaled more than 10 tackles in each of his last five games. On offense, Alexander Mattison could get a chance to be the lead RB this week to bolster the ground game. He has a TD in three of four games this season.

With Adams out, WR Jakobi Meyers will look to continue having success against the Broncos. He had three TD receptions in two games against Denver last season.